The Indian rupee appreciated 24 paise to 93.74 against the US dollar in early trade on Monday. The movement was supported by lower crude oil prices, improving foreign capital flows, and hopes of a de-escalation in geopolitical tensions in West Asia.
In the interbank foreign exchange market, the local currency opened at approximately 93.85 before gaining ground to touch 93.74, marking an increase from its previous session's close. On Friday, the rupee had surged 43 paise to close at 93.98 against the US dollar.
Market sentiment has been positively influenced by developments over the weekend in West Asia. Comments regarding negotiations and lower probabilities of fresh military strikes have helped ease risk premiums in global energy markets. Brent crude, which previously traded higher, slipped below the $100 mark and was trading near $98.17 per barrel in futures trade, down 0.15 per cent.
CR Forex Advisors MD Amit Pabari noted that improvements in diplomatic expectations are reflecting directly in energy prices. He added that with the USD/INR pair breaking below the 94.00 mark, the possibility of further rupee appreciation toward 93.50 and 93.00 has increased, while immediate resistance is anticipated in the 94.40 to 94.50 zone.
Meanwhile, the dollar index, which measures the strength of the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, traded lower by 0.12 per cent at 102.18.
In domestic equities, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) purchased equities worth ₹13,749.82 crore on Friday, according to exchange data. However, in early trading on Monday, domestic benchmark indices saw a minor downturn, with the Sensex falling 93.95 points to 80,919.19 and the Nifty dipping 30 points to 24,968.80.
In separate data released by the Reserve Bank of India on Friday, India's forex reserves dropped by $2.691 billion to stand at $717.056 billion during the week ended October 30.
"Fluctuations in the foreign exchange market and crude oil prices have a direct bearing on macroeconomic stability and input costs for businesses operating in India. A stronger rupee, supported by easing global energy prices and robust foreign institutional flows, provides a temporary relief cushion for import-dependent sectors. Entrepreneurs and business leaders must closely monitor these currency trends and foreign reserve metrics as they navigate broader financial planning, supply chain costs, and capital allocation strategies in an evolving global economic environment." — Dr. Shishir Gupta, Founder & CEO, StartupLanes
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